logit,GBM,knn,xgboost对一个信用卡数据的实现
Prepare the data
数据来自UCIhttp://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/machine-learning-databases/credit-screening,一个信a用卡的数据,具体各项变量名以及变量名代表的含义不明(应该是出于保护隐私的目的),本文会用logit,GBM,knn,xgboost来对数据进行分类预测,对比准确率
预计的准确率应该是:
xgboost > GBM > logit > knn
Download the data
dataset = read.table("http://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/machine-learning-databases/credit-screening/crx.data",
sep = ",",
header = F,
na.strings = "?")
head(dataset)
V1 V2 V3 V4 V5 V6 V7 V8 V9 V10 V11 V12 V13 V14 V15 V16
1 b 30.83 0.000 u g w v 1.25 t t 1 f g 202 0 +
2 a 58.67 4.460 u g q h 3.04 t t 6 f g 43 560 +
3 a 24.50 0.500 u g q h 1.50 t f 0 f g 280 824 +
4 b 27.83 1.540 u g w v 3.75 t t 5 t g 100 3 +
5 b 20.17 5.625 u g w v 1.71 t f 0 f s 120 0 +
6 b 32.08 4.000 u g m v 2.50 t f 0 t g 360 0 +
## save.csv(dataset,file = "creditCard.csv")
以上是数据的形式,接下来看下数据是否有缺失值和各个数据的类型
sapply(dataset,function(x) sum(is.na(x)))
V1 V2 V3 V4 V5 V6 V7 V8 V9 V10 V11 V12 V13 V14 V15 V16
12 12 0 6 6 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0
sapply(dataset,class)
V1 V2 V3 V4 V5 V6 V7 V8 V9 V10
"factor" "numeric" "numeric" "factor" "factor" "factor" "factor" "numeric" "factor" "factor"
V11 V12 V13 V14 V15 V16
"integer" "factor" "factor" "integer" "integer" "factor"
Train and Test
分割数据的训练集和测试集,这里set.seed(123),设定70%的训练集,30%的测试集.
set.seed(123)
dataset = na.omit(dataset)
n = dim(dataset)[1]
index = sample(n,round(0.7n))
train = dataset[index,]
test = dataset[-index,]
dim(train)
[1] 457 16
dim(test)
[1] 196 16
Change the variable into dummy variables
有时候,需要转化变量为哑变量,因为在一些挖掘场合,数据不能直接使用因子型的数据:
- knn
- glmnet
- svm
- xgboost
有些挖掘方法是可以使用因子变量的,比如:
- logistic regression
- raprt
- GBM
- randomforest
dataset2 = dataset
library(plyr)
into_factor = function(x){
if(class(x) == "factor"){
n = length(x)
data.fac = data.frame(x = x,y = 1:n)
output = model.matrix(y~x,data.fac)[,-1]
## Convert factor into dummy variable matrix
}else{
output = x
## if x is numeric, output is x
}
output
}
into_factor(dataset$V4)[1:5,]
xu xy
1 1 0
2 1 0
3 1 0
4 1 0
5 1 0
dataset2 = colwise(into_factor)(dataset2)
dataset2 = do.call(cbind,dataset2)
dataset2 = as.data.frame(dataset2)
head(dataset2)
V1 V2 V3 xu xy xgg xp xc xcc xd xe xff xi xj xk xm xq xr xw xx xdd xff xh xj xn xo xv xz
1 1 30.83 0.000 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
2 0 58.67 4.460 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 24.50 0.500 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
4 1 27.83 1.540 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
5 1 20.17 5.625 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
6 1 32.08 4.000 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
V8 V9 V10 V11 V12 xp xs V14 V15 V16
1 1.25 1 1 1 0 0 0 202 0 1
2 3.04 1 1 6 0 0 0 43 560 1
3 1.50 1 0 0 0 0 0 280 824 1
4 3.75 1 1 5 1 0 0 100 3 1
5 1.71 1 0 0 0 0 1 120 0 1
6 2.50 1 0 0 1 0 0 360 0 1
dim(dataset2)
[1] 653 38
Logistic Regression
使用logistic回归来进行测试建模和预测,使用的函数是glm
logit.model = glm(V16~.,data = train,family = "binomial")
logit.response = predict(logit.model,test,type = "response")
logit.predict = ifelse(logit.response>0.5,"+","-")
table(logit.predict,test$V16)
logit.predict - +
- 90 24
+ 13 69
accurancy1 = mean(logit.predict == test$V16)
accurancy1
[1] 0.81122
GBM
使用GBM方法来进行预测,这里用的是caret
,repeat-cv来选择最优树
library(caret)
ctrl = trainControl(method = "repeatedcv",
number = 5, repeats = 5)
set.seed(300)
m_gbm = train(V16 ~ ., data=train, method = "gbm",
metric = "Kappa", trControl = ctrl)
gbm.predict = predict(m_gbm,test)
table(gbm.predict,test$V16)
accurancy2 = mean(gbm.predict == test$V16)
accurancy2
[1] 0.85714
knn method for classification
knn set k = 5
This is a model without cross-validation
首先测试一个knn模型,不做CV,不做标准化,不做数据类型转换得到的结果,这里,不转换数据类型会把因子类型的变量舍弃,仅保留数值变量
library(caret)
knn.model1 = knn3(V16 ~ .,data = train, k = 5)
knn.response1 = predict(knn.model1,test,class = "response")
knn.predict1 = ifelse(knn.response1[,1]<0.5,"+","-")
table(knn.predict1,test$V16)
knn.predict1 - +
- 78 48
+ 25 45
mean(knn.predict1 == test$V16)
[1] 0.62755
knn after scale
After scaling and convert into dummy variables:
经过标准化和数据转换之后的准确率:
knn.dataset = cbind(
colwise(scale)(dataset2[,-38]),
V16 = as.factor(dataset2$V16)
)
set.seed(123)
index = sample(n,round(0.7n))
train.knn = knn.dataset[index,]
test.knn = knn.dataset[-index,]
knn.model1 = knn3(V16 ~ .,data = train.knn, k = 5)
knn.predict1 = predict(knn.model1,test.knn,,type = "class")
table(knn.predict1,test.knn$V16)
knn.predict1 0 1
0 89 32
1 14 61
mean(knn.predict1 == test.knn$V16)
[1] 0.76531
knn CV for k
my-try
不管是我的这个程序函数caret,总算出来应该是k=2的时候误差最小,但是实际情况不是这样
library(class)
cv.knn = function(data,n=5,k){
index = sample(1:5,nrow(data),replace = T)
acc=0
for ( i in 1:5){
ind = index == i
train = data[-ind,]
test = data[ind,]
knn.model1 = knn3(V16 ~ .,data = train, k = k)
knn.predict= predict(knn.model1,test,type = "class")
acc[i] = mean(knn.predict == test$V16)
}
mean(acc)
}
cv.knn(train.knn,3,5)
[1] 0.8533
k = 2:20
set.seed(123)
acc = sapply(k,function(x) cv.knn(train.knn,3,x))
plot(k,acc,type = "b")
k.final = which.max(acc)
knn.model.f = knn3(V16 ~ .,data = train.knn, k = k.final)
knn.predict.f = predict(knn.model.f,test.knn,type = "class")
table(knn.predict.f,test.knn$V16)
knn.predict.f 0 1
0 81 31
1 22 62
mean(knn.predict.f == test.knn$V16)
[1] 0.72959
library(caret)
fitControl <- trainControl(method = "cv",
number = 10)
knnTune <- train(x = dataset2[1:37], y = dataset2[,38],
method = "knn",
preProc = c("center", "scale"),
tuneGrid = data.frame(.k = 1:20),
trControl = fitControl)
直接train,test来看:
效果是k=5最好
knn_train_test = function(train,test,k =5){
knn.model.f = knn3(V16 ~ .,data = train, k = k)
knn.predict.f = predict(knn.model.f,test,type = "class")
mean(knn.predict.f == test$V16)
}
x = 1:20
result =
sapply(x,
function(x) knn_train_test(train.knn,test.knn,k = x))
plot(x,result,type = "b")
k.final = which.max(result)
accurancy3 = knn_train_test(train.knn,test.knn,k = k.final)
accurancy3
[1] 0.75
xgboost
Install:
## devtools::install_github(‘dmlc/xgboost’,subdir=’R-package’)
require(xgboost)
require(methods)
require(plyr)
set.seed(123)
set.seed(123)
index = sample(n,round(0.7n))
train.xg = dataset2[index,]
test.xg = dataset2[-index,]
label <- as.matrix(train.xg[,38,drop =F])
data <- as.matrix(train.xg[,-38,drop =F])
data2 <- as.matrix(test.xg[,-38,drop =F])
label2 = as.matrix(test.xg[,38,drop =F])
# weight <- as.numeric(dtrain[[32]]) testsize / length(label)
xgmat <- xgb.DMatrix(data, label = label, missing = -10000)
param <- list("objective" = "binary:logistic",
"bst:eta" = 1,
"bst:max_depth" = 2,
"eval_metric" = "logloss",
"silent" = 1,
"nthread" = 16 ,
"min_child_weight" =1.45
)
nround =275
bst = xgb.train(param, xgmat, nround )
res1 = predict(bst,data2)
pre1 = ifelse(res1>0.5,1,0)
table(pre1,label2)
label2
pre1 0 1
0 91 15
1 12 78
accurancy4 = mean(pre1 ==label2)
accurancy4
[1] 0.86224
Final Results
Method | Accurancy |
---|---|
logistic regression | 0.81122 |
GBM | 0.85714 |
knn | 0.75 |
xgboost | 0.86224 |